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http://www.mod.gov.ge/?l=E&m=11&sm=3&id=700
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1) Why were the Georgians in a hurry to destroy the evidence?
Only the warhead was destroyed for safety reasons as it contained explosive (150 kg of TNT) and the condition of the fuze was unknown. All the recovered debris is still on display at the Interior Ministry. The Georgians made a video of the missile recover operation and of the warhead removal and destruction. The serial numbers of parts recovered have been seen at the Interior Ministry and indicate a manufacturing date of the warhead of Oct 1992.
2) Possible Scenario
The Group combined its expertise to come up with a possible scenario to explain the facts.
The incident started with incursions into Georgian airspace by aircraft flying towards the radar site in Gori. The central command post was aware as several radars (including civilian) were fed into their air picture. Part of the first penetration was seen by the 36D radar but the information was not sent to the central command post in Tbilisi. The radar was only able to partly track the incursion as it was under going maintenance.
On the third incursion the aircraft turned towards the radar and the radar tracked the aircraft all the way until the missile launch, when the radar stopped transmitting. Just prior to launch the aircraft weapons system passed information on the position of the radar site to the missile on the pylon. At launch the missile dropped away and after approximately 50 m separation the motor ignited. We were very fortunate that the radar crew member saw the missile launch and the smoke trail. Due to the mountainous terrain in this region the aircraft was only a little higher in elevation that the radar site, perhaps 1-1.5 km. Upon detection of launch the crew quickly stopped the radar transmitting. At this point the aircraft was estimated to be about 10 km from the radar. Thus just after launch the missile was denied a valid radar target to home onto. The Kh-58 had to use the previously estimated position of the radar site derived from the aircraft sensors. It is likely that due to the short range, the missile flew a direct approach to where it believed the radar site was. A miss of 3-5 km is not unusual in these circumstances because of the old estimation of the target position and no opportunity for the seeker to refine that position. The missile requires several operations to arm the warhead correctly and a combination of short range and similar elevation (aircraft and radar site heights) may have interrupted the normal arming sequence.
It was reported that a MANPAD was fired as the aircraft was flying towards the radar during the third incursion. It is unclear if the missile caused any damage to the aircraft or the Kh-58 missile it was carrying. It is also uncertain if the aircrew reacted to the MANPAD launch or what affect the MANPAD had on the launch of their air to surface missile.
After launch of the Kh-58 the aircraft turned back towards Russian airspace and was tracked on radar into Russian airspace.
3)
ОБСЕ: Грузинское воздушное пространство нарушил российский самолет
Миссия ОБСЕ в Грузии заявила, что грузинское воздушное пространство 6 августа нарушили военные самолеты российского производства. Они проникли на территорию страны на расстояние 75 километров и около села Цителубани сбросили управляемую ракету типа "Воздух-земля", говорится в заявлении представителей ОБСЕ, передает Интерфакс.
"Cамолеты нарушили воздушное пространство со стороны Российской Федерации и после сброса ракеты вернулись в северо-восточном направлении", - отмечается в документе со ссылкой на данные грузинских радаров.
Миссия ОБСЕ сообщает, что инцидент 6 августа не представляет отдельный и единственный случай. "По данным единого гражданского и военного радара, 5 августа, за день до инцидента, самолет Су-24 несколько раз нарушал грузино-российскую границу и вторгался в воздушное пространство Грузии", - говорится в заявлении.
Между тем российские миротворцы утверждают, что самолет, о котором идет речь, покинул югоосетинский регион в направлении Грузии. "Ни наблюдательные посты ССПМ, ни опрошенные нами местные жители- очевидцы не зафиксировали ухода самолета в направлении российской границы", - заявил ранее помощник командующего Смешанными силами по поддержанию мира в зоне грузино-осетинского конфликта Юрий Верещак. При этом он отметил, что "отказ представителей Грузии участвовать в проведении мониторингов затрудняет работу по установлению истинной картины происшедшего 6 августа".
http://grani.ru/Politics/Russia/m.126009.html
http://www.day.az/news/georgia/91258.html
Этот вопрос будет подниматься и в будущем в ООН.
Мераб Анатадзе:Инцидент 6 августа будут рассматривать все международные организации в том числе и ООН
http://rus.primenewsonline.com/news/121/AR...2007-08-22.html